SEC's Playoff Power Play Will They Make or Break the 5+11 Format?

Still undecided, SEC holds the key to College Football Playoff as 5+11 format gains steam - CBS Sports

SEC's CFP Stance: A Conference in Limbo Holds the Key to College Football's Future


The Southeastern Conference (SEC) finds itself in a fascinating position as college football navigates the complexities of its playoff format. While other conferences lean towards specific models, the SEC remains undecided, effectively making it the central figure in shaping the sport's future. After intense debates during their annual spring meetings in Miramar Beach, Florida, the SEC's intentions for the College Football Playoff (CFP) format are still unclear.


A Deep Dive into the SEC's Stance


Sources indicate that discussions within the Sandestin Hilton were, at times, quite heated. The SEC distributed a detailed seven-page document emphasizing the conference's depth and strength, advocating for a greater emphasis on strength of schedule in the CFP selection process.


Commissioner Greg Sankey addressed the media, highlighting the need for clarity in the decision-making process: "This is wanting to understand the decisions and we have to have better clarity on the criteria that informs those decisions," Sankey stated. He emphasized the importance of how a 9-3 SEC team would be evaluated against teams with fewer losses, given the rigorous nature of their schedule.


The Data-Driven Argument


The SEC's document, titled "A REGULAR SEASON GAUNTLET," underscored their desire for greater recognition from the CFP selection committee, suggesting the implementation of data points that have historically favored the SEC's strength of record and schedules. To bolster their claim, the SEC pointed out its dominance in various metrics over the past decade:


  • The conference has finished No. 1 in five key metrics for each of the last 10 years.
  • These metrics include strength of schedule, strength of record, SP+ (a predictive model), and the Football Power Index (FPI).

Format Preferences Emerge: 5+11 Gaining Momentum


Despite the SEC's emphasis on selection criteria, the most significant development was the growing support for a 5+11 model within the conference. This model, already favored by the ACC, Big 12, and Group of 6 conferences, proposes:


  • Five automatic spots for the highest-ranked conference champions.
  • Eleven at-large berths based on the committee's rankings.

This contrasts with the 4+4+2+2+1 model supported by the Big Ten, which would grant four automatic qualifiers to both the SEC and Big Ten, two each to the ACC and Big 12, one to the highest-ranked Group of 6 champion, and three at-large bids.


Multiple Roads Available to the SEC


Here is a quick overview of the potential courses of action:


CFP Model Overview


4-4-2-2-1: SEC & Big Ten each get 4 AQs; 2 each for ACC & Big 12; 1 for top G5 champ; 3 at-large bids.
5+11: 5 AQs (P4 champs + top G5), 11 at-large bids via CFP committee.
Current Limbo: SEC hasn't finalized 8 vs. 9 games; waiting on CFP format decision (due Dec. 1)


Should SEC Go to 9 Games?


4-4-2-2-1: Yes — high upside. Lean into marquee SEC matchups + "play-in" games; boost résumés.
5+11: No — high risk. Stay at 8 games to protect records; avoid cannibalization.
Current Limbo: Debate continues: ADs want 9 for revenue, coaches prefer 8 for wins


Strategy


4-4-2-2-1: Risk: tougher schedule. 🎯 Reward: multiple CFP bids, even with 3 losses.
5+11: ⚠️ Risk: Selection committee holds more power. ✅ Reward: safer path for more teams
Current Limbo: 🔁 Risk of misalignment if CFP format is delayed


The Clock is Ticking


With a deadline of December 1st for a final decision on the CFP format, the SEC faces internal debates about expanding its regular season schedule from eight to nine games. This decision is further complicated by the preferred CFP format, as a nine-game schedule may not align well with the 5+11 model.


Collaboration is Key


Commissioner Sankey emphasized the importance of collaboration, both within the SEC and with other conferences like the ACC and Big 12. He acknowledged the need to consider the "good of the game" and foster cohesion among the power conferences.


What's Next?


The next significant date is June 18th, when the 10 FBS commissioners and Notre Dame AD Pete Bevacqua will meet in Asheville, North Carolina. As the college football world eagerly awaits the SEC's final stance, the conference's decision will undoubtedly shape the future of the sport for years to come.


The SEC's position, while currently uncertain, reflects a deep consideration of its own strengths and a genuine concern for the overall landscape of college football. As they navigate these crucial decisions, the conference's ultimate choice will set the stage for a new era of playoff competition.


Tags: College Football, SEC, CFP, Playoff Format, Strength of Schedule, Football News, Sports, NCAA Football, SEC Football, NCAA

Source: https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/still-undecided-sec-holds-the-key-to-college-football-playoff-as-5-11-format-gains-steam/

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